Modelling the Nature of Close-Out Netting on Bank Portfolios
The stochastic volatility of daily foreign exchange (FX) derivatives poses a number
of risks for the international banking community. Settlement risk, liquidity risk
and capital adequacy are just a few immediate concerns that arise from such
volatility. This book examines the impact of close-out netting on minimising the
stochastic volatility of inter-bank FX derivatives.
The problem with close-out netting is that although it is a simple formula of taking the
differences between two banks at one point in time, it is the stochastic and volatile
nature of FX rates that makes measuring the full impact of netting difficult. Through
Monte Carlo simulation of the resulting fitted generalized auto regressive conditionally
heteroschedastic (GARCH) models, we generate the distributions -with and without
close-out netting.
The findings of this book are interesting, showing that close-out netting is far more
than just a simple mathematical process. Netting surely does reduce each bank’s exposure
to FX volatility, however, its multivariate nature reveals some important results for
banking risk management research and indeed many financial analysts and quantitative
analysts (quants).